Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudan vs Chad

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Fadl M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Sudan and Chad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sudan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sudan
15%
Draws
12%
Chad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Chad haven't matched Sudan's recent run of results.
  • Sudan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sudan Clean Sheet 19%
Chad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan Chad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.76 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2023 Friendly International
Sudan vs Chad
1:1
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Sudan vs Chad
1:0
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Sudan vs Chad
0:0
Sep 5, 2019 World Championship
Chad vs Sudan
1:3
Sep 10, 2008 World Championship
Chad vs Sudan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadl M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 76 / 100
Chad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan Chad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chad conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Chad registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sudan scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan VS Chad
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan

(Home)
29 Sept
Mozambique
4 : 1
Sudan
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

Chad

(Away)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
Page 1 of 6