Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudan vs Senegal

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ly M. Y.
26'
Simbo M.
46'
Sub
Abdalla Hamadalnile Ali A. In: Abu M.
Out: Abdalla Hamadalnile Ali A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sudan
15%
Draws
49%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal lately — more wins on the board than Sudan.
  • Senegal are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this African Nations Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sudan Clean Sheet 18%
Senegal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan Senegal
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.72 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs Sudan
3:1
Sep 5, 2025 World Championship
Senegal vs Sudan
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 African Nations Championship
Sudan vs Senegal
1:2
Aug 19, 2025 African Nations Championship
Sudan vs Senegal
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 World Championship
Sudan vs Senegal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 28 / 100
Senegal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Senegal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sudan found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (25 games).

Senegal let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sudan VS Senegal
0.17 Goals Scored 1.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan

(Home)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 5

Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)