Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudbury vs Egham Town

England England

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Egham Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sudbury
15%
Draws
51%
Egham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Egham Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Egham Town taking it.
  • Egham Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Egham Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 10%
Egham Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudbury Egham Town
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 FA Trophy
Sudbury vs Egham Town
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudbury 26 / 100
Egham Town 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudbury Egham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egham Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudbury scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Egham Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Egham Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sudbury VS Egham Town
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudbury

(Home)
12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0
Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1
Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3
Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0
Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 7

Egham Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Whitstable Town
0 : 1
Egham Town
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
29 Aug
Westfield
1 : 2
Egham Town
14 Jul
Egham Town
1 : 4
Chertsey Town
13 Sept
Deal Town
2 : 1
Egham Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Basford Utd. -
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Peterborough Sports 2
Cambridge City 4
Rushall -
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Stafford -
Stamford 1
Belper Town 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Leek Town 5
Stourbridge -
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Kettering -
Stalybridge -
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Nantwich -
Buxton -
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King’s Lynn -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
FC Wisbech Town 3
Corby 2
Yaxley 3
Frickley 3
Skelmersdale 1
Trafford 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
AFC Mansfield 2
Soham 1
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Hednesford -
Pickering Town 3
Stocksbridge 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Droylsden 3
Neots -
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Matlock -
Barwell -
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Coalville Town -
Lancaster -
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Marine -
Clitheroe 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Ossett United 6
Newcastle Town 2
Gresley 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic -
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Workington -
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries 3
Radcliffe 2
Cleethorpes 3
Gainsborough -
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Tamworth -
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Warrington Town -
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Kendal 1
Prescot Cables 5
Alvechurch -
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Stratford -
Redditch -
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Mickleover -
Witton Albion -
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Whitby -
St Ives Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Farsley -
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Morpeth 3
Brighouse Town 4
Bedworth United -
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Spalding United 1
Carlton Town 4
South Shields -
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North Ferriby United -
Bamber Bridge -
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Hyde -
Brightlingsea -
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Cray Wanderers 0
Canvey Island 2
Ramsgate 2
Phoenix Sports 1
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Hornchurch -
Lewes -
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Westfield 2
Ashford Town 3
Farnborough -
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Merthyr Town -
Chipstead 2
Welwyn Garden 1
South Park 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers -
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Grays 2
Sevenoaks 4
Whyteleafe 4
Hastings 2
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Tonbridge -
Hendon -
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Staines -
Harrow Borough -
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Biggleswade Town -
Basingstoke -
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Wimborne -
Lowestoft -
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Enfield Town -
Royston Town -
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Chalfont St Peter 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 0
Larkhall 0
Thame United 1
Horsham FC 3
Ware 1
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Corinthian-Casuals -
Margate -
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Potters -
Brentwood 4
Marlow 1
Bedfont Sports 1
Whitstable Town 4
Frome Town -
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Poole Town -
Herne Bay 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
AFC Dunstable 0
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley -
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Needham Market -
Leiston -
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Hanwell Town 1
VCD Athletic 3
Thatcham 2
Cirencester 0
Slimbridge 2
Melksham 3
Salisbury -
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Barnstaple Town 1
Fleet Town 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Great Wakering 0
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Merstham -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Banbury -
Hitchin -
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Barking 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police -
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Carshalton -
Whitehawk -
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Harlow -
Weymouth -
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Taunton Town -
Cinderford Town 5
Moneyfields 0
Bideford 2
Street 3
Yate 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Dorchester -
Gosport Borough -
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North Leigh 2
AFC Totton 6
Aveley 2
Basildon 1
Northwood 0
Dunstable Town 2
Kempston 3
Dereham 1
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Beaconsfield Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Worthing FC -
Haringey Borough -
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Chesham -
Walton Casuals -
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Three Bridges 0
Molesey 1
Bracknell Town 3
Haywards Heath 2
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Bognor Regis -
Folkestone -
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Leatherhead -
Didcot 2
Hertford Town 1
Kidlington 0
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Egham Town 1
Aylesbury United 2
Mildenhall 3
Hythe 2
Romania 0
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Stortford -
Hartley Wintney -
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Tiverton -
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 0
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Semi-finals
Basford Utd. 2
Cambridge City 1
Rushall 1
Stafford 2
Stamford 1
Leek Town 0
Stourbridge 0
Kettering 2
Stalybridge 1
Nantwich 0
Buxton 5
King’s Lynn 4
FC Wisbech Town 1
Yaxley 3
Frickley 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
AFC Mansfield 2
Hednesford 1
Pickering Town 5
Droylsden 4
Neots 1
Matlock 0
Barwell 4
Coalville Town 3
Lancaster 2
Marine 0
Clitheroe 1
Ossett United 2
Newcastle Town 5
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Workington 1
Marske United 2
Cleethorpes 0
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 3
Halesowen 4
Grantham Town 0
Warrington Town 0
Prescot Cables 1
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 4
Redditch 0
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 1
Whitby 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Farsley 4
Brighouse Town 1
Bedworth United 0
Carlton Town 1
South Shields 4
North Ferriby United 0
Bamber Bridge 0
Hyde 3
Brightlingsea 1
Canvey Island 0
Ramsgate 0
Hornchurch 6
Lewes 2
Ashford Town 1
Farnborough 2
Merthyr Town 3
Chipstead 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Kingstonian 3
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Sevenoaks 1
Whyteleafe 1
Tonbridge 2
Hendon 2
Staines 1
Harrow Borough 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 4
Wimborne 2
Lowestoft 0
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Thame United 4
Horsham FC 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Margate 1
Potters 2
Brentwood 3
Whitstable Town 1
Frome Town 1
Poole Town 2
Herne Bay 2
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley 0
Needham Market 2
Leiston 3
VCD Athletic 1
Thatcham 1
Melksham 2
Salisbury 3
Fleet Town 0
East Grinstead Town 0
Merstham 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Banbury 4
Hitchin 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Carshalton 4
Whitehawk 2
Harlow 3
Weymouth 3
Taunton Town 1
Cinderford Town 3
Street 6
Yate 1
Dorchester 3
Gosport Borough 1
AFC Totton 2
Aveley 1
Dunstable Town 0
Kempston 2
Beaconsfield Town 4
Burgess Hill 2
Worthing FC 3
Haringey Borough 3
Chesham 4
Walton Casuals 1
Molesey 0
Bracknell Town 4
Bognor Regis 5
Folkestone 5
Leatherhead 1
Didcot 5
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Mildenhall 2
Hythe 1
Stortford 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Tiverton 6
Sittingbourne 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
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Final
Basford Utd. 4
Stafford 0
Stamford 1
Kettering 0
Stalybridge 2
Buxton 1
Yaxley 3
Ramsbottom Utd 7
AFC Mansfield 2
Pickering Town 4
Neots 0
Barwell 1
Lancaster 1
Ossett United 0
Newcastle Town 2
Workington 7
Marske United 2
Tamworth 0
Halesowen 3
Prescot Cables 2
Stratford 2
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Farsley 4
Carlton Town 0
South Shields 2
Hyde 1
Brightlingsea 2
Hornchurch 1
Lewes 2
Merthyr Town 0
Chipstead 2
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 1
Tonbridge 0
Hendon 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 2
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 5
Thame United 2
Horsham FC 1
Potters 0
Brentwood 3
Poole Town 6
Herne Bay 0
Needham Market 1
Leiston 2
Melksham 1
Salisbury 2
Merstham 0
Banbury 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Carshalton 3
Harlow 1
Weymouth 3
Street 2
Dorchester 3
AFC Totton 1
Aveley 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
Worthing FC 1
Chesham 0
Walton Casuals 2
Bognor Regis 0
Folkestone 3
Didcot 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Stortford 0
Tiverton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
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