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Sudtirol vs Alghero

Italy Italy

Serie C2/A 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Sudtirol and Alghero finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sudtirol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Sudtirol
15%
Draws
16%
Alghero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sudtirol come out ahead of Alghero on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 16%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Alghero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Sudtirol vs Alghero
2:0
Aug 23, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Sudtirol
3:1
May 17, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Sudtirol
2:1
Dec 20, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Sudtirol vs Alghero
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 84 / 100
Alghero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Alghero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sudtirol found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Alghero registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Alghero
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

Alghero

(Away)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)