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Sudtirol vs Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Molina S.
46'
Sub
Okoro A. In: Mixtur K.
Out: Okoro A.
48'
Stabile G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Sudtirol and Ascoli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sudtirol
20%
Draws
47%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Ascoli
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 9 17
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Ascoli
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Serie B
Ascoli vs Sudtirol
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Ascoli
3:1
Apr 15, 2023 Serie B
Ascoli vs Sudtirol
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Ascoli
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 41 / 100
Ascoli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sudtirol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Ascoli
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
02 Oct
Sudtirol
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
6 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
7 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
8 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)