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Sudtirol vs Catanzaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Petriccione J.
58'
Sub
Antonini M. In: Candela A.
Out: Antonini M.
59'
Sub
Vasic A. In: Zeroli K.
Out: Vasic A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Sudtirol and Catanzaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sudtirol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sudtirol
35%
Draws
32%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catanzaro come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
2:0
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnete R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mixtur K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Catanzaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 50 / 100
Catanzaro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sudtirol scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Sudtirol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Catanzaro
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Catanzaro

(Away)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)