Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol vs Catanzaro

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sudtirol host Catanzaro in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Catanzaro have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Sudtirol have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Sudtirol have won 2 to Catanzaro's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.19) point toward Catanzaro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sudtirol
15%
Draws
35%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catanzaro come out ahead of Sudtirol on wins alone.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 20%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 85 / 100
Catanzaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sudtirol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sudtirol scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Catanzaro let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Catanzaro
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6

Catanzaro

(Away)
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1
Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modena 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Padova 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Verona 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 0:1 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)