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Sudtirol vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Sudtirol Logo

Sudtirol

1 - 1
FT
Cesena Logo

Cesena

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rispoli F.
Assist: Tronchin S.
37'
Tronchin S.
46'
Sub
Davi F. In: Davi S.
Out: Davi F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sudtirol
35%
Draws
41%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cesena at 1.23 per game, Sudtirol at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Cesena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sudtirol
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Sudtirol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rispoli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 36 / 100
Cesena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cesena has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sudtirol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Cesena
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)