Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Steponavicius F.
Assist: Haydary O.
17' Event
Sobowale R.
Assist: Vinckus D.
20'
Sane B.

AI Match Summary

Suduva in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Suduva
20%
Draws
7%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Suduva have won more games recently than Dziugas Telsiai.
  • Suduva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucky T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobowale R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okpolokpo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 95 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Suduva stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS Dziugas Telsiai
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 6

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 27 13 10 4 38:24 49
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 27 13 9 5 54:20 48
3 Zalgiris 27 13 5 9 41:31 44
4 Transinvest 27 12 6 9 40:35 42
5 Dziugas Telsiai 27 10 8 9 36:38 38
6 Banga 27 10 8 9 30:28 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 28 4 13 11 30:47 25
9 FA Siauliai 28 3 8 17 24:56 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)