Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena

Suduva

2 - 1

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

59'

Seck I.

Assist: Omori Y.

72'

Sub

Burba M. In: Sirgedas G.

Out: Burba M.

72'

Sub

Pavlovic D. In: Ikaunieks D.

Out: Pavlovic D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suduva in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Suduva

33%

Draws

40%

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to FK Kauno Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Suduva.
Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Suduva Clean Sheet 27%

FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suduva	FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	17
Draws	11	8
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 TOPLYGA

Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly

Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:4

Oct 27, 2025 TOPLYGA

Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 24, 2025 TOPLYGA

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Omori Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolordava A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 30 / 100

FK Kauno Zalgiris 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suduva FK Kauno Zalgiris

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Suduva scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS FK Kauno Zalgiris

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	20	9	7	4	38:15	34
2	Banga	19	8	6	5	22:14	30
3	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
4	Dziugas Telsiai	19	8	6	5	28:22	30
5	Transinvest	19	8	5	6	28:25	29
6	Zalgiris	19	8	4	7	27:21	28
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	20	2	7	11	18:41	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0