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Suduva vs FK Panevezys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Janusevskis J.
46'
Sub
Paulauskas V. In: Asamoah K.
Out: Paulauskas V.
58' Event
Tangiri F.
Assist: Uzochukwu H.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Suduva and FK Panevezys finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Suduva
20%
Draws
69%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • FK Panevezys have managed 1.35 goals a game lately — Suduva are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Model gives FK Panevezys a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Suduva Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva FK Panevezys
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
2:0
Jun 29, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Suduva
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Suduva
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Suduva vs FK Panevezys
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Tangiri F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chajia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 10 / 100
FK Panevezys 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FK Panevezys conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Suduva stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS FK Panevezys
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)