Sport Picks

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Suduva vs Palanga

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019 Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Mosnikov S.
33' Event
Oliveira R.
Assist: Blauensteiner M.
43'
Kerla S.

AI Match Summary

The A Lyga 2019 game between Suduva and Palanga finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Suduva
15%
Draws
31%
Palanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Suduva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Suduva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Suduva here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%
Palanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva Palanga
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 10 1
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.84 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs Suduva
0:4
Oct 2, 2019 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Palanga
5:0
Jun 1, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs Suduva
0:2
Apr 14, 2019 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Palanga
3:0
Jan 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Suduva vs Palanga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tadic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Palanga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 95 / 100
Palanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva Palanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palanga has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Suduva found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (38 games).

Solid form: Suduva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
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Palanga

(Away)
09 Nov
Palanga
2 : 2
Banga
03 Nov
Banga
2 : 0
Palanga
26 Oct
Atlantas
0 : 1
Palanga
12 Oct
Palanga
0 : 4
Suduva
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)