Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suduva vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Suduva Logo

Suduva

1 - 1
FT
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Stockunas E.
46'
Sub
Stockunas E. In: Milasius T.
Out: Stockunas E.
61'
Sub
Vareika M. In: Sesplaukis D.
Out: Vareika M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Suduva
15%
Draws
27%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Suduva have won more games recently than Zalgiris.
  • Model gives Suduva a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:3
Aug 7, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikulenas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendysh Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 95 / 100
Zalgiris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Suduva remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Suduva scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Zalgiris let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS Zalgiris
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
06 Jul
Suduva
0 : 0
Transinvest
29 Jun
FK Panevezys
1 : 2
Suduva
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Zalgiris

(Away)
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Zalgiris
7 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
27 Jul
FC Hegelmann
2 : 3
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 22 10 9 3 31:17 39
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 22 10 8 4 41:16 38
3 Dziugas Telsiai 24 10 7 7 34:29 37
4 Banga 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
5 Transinvest 24 10 6 8 33:32 36
6 Zalgiris 22 10 4 8 35:27 34
7 FK Panevezys 23 6 5 12 21:39 23
8 FC Hegelmann 24 4 10 10 26:41 22
9 FA Siauliai 24 3 7 14 23:50 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)