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Suduva vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suduva host Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Suduva at 1.83 goals for, 0.9 against; Zalgiris at 1.57 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Zalgiris slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.58, favoring Suduva. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Suduva
15%
Draws
14%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Suduva have won more games recently than Zalgiris.
  • Suduva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Suduva Clean Sheet 14%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:3
Aug 7, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 84 / 100
Zalgiris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Suduva remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Suduva found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS Zalgiris
2 Goals Scored 2.88
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 100%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
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Zalgiris

(Away)
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 24 12 9 3 35:18 45
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 23 10 9 4 41:16 39
3 Transinvest 25 11 6 8 36:32 39
4 Dziugas Telsiai 26 10 8 8 36:33 38
5 Banga 25 10 8 7 29:22 38
6 Zalgiris 24 11 4 9 37:29 37
7 FK Panevezys 25 7 5 13 23:41 26
8 FC Hegelmann 26 4 12 10 29:44 24
9 FA Siauliai 26 3 7 16 24:55 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)