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Suduva vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
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Match Events

45'
Sub
Uzochukwu H. In: Milasius T.
Out: Uzochukwu H.
51'
Sanokho S. M.
61'
Sub
Tangiri F. In: Lucky T.
Out: Tangiri F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Suduva
20%
Draws
65%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Zalgiris have won more games recently than Suduva.
  • Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Suduva Clean Sheet 18%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
4:0
Sep 13, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
0:0
May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 10 / 100
Zalgiris 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Suduva remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS Zalgiris
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
19 Oct
Suduva
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)