Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2025/2026 game between Suhareka and Trepca Mitrovice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suhareka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Suhareka
15%
Draws
34%
Trepca Mitrovice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suhareka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suhareka come out ahead of Trepca Mitrovice on wins alone.
  • Suhareka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Suhareka have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Suhareka Clean Sheet 13%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suhareka Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga e Pare
Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Suhareka
0:2
Dec 7, 2023 Kosovar Cup
Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suhareka 84 / 100
Trepca Mitrovice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suhareka Trepca Mitrovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suhareka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suhareka found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Trepca Mitrovice has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Suhareka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suhareka VS Trepca Mitrovice
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suhareka

(Home)
15 Aug
Suhareka
5 : 0
Istogu
23 May
Suhareka
6 : 3
Tefik Canga
16 May
Liria
4 : 2
Suhareka
09 May
Suhareka
3 : 1
Rilindja
03 May
Dinamo Ferizaj
3 : 2
Suhareka
Page 1 of 6

Trepca Mitrovice

(Away)
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
23 May
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 3
2 Korriku
16 May
Feronikeli
3 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
10 May
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 1
Vushtrria
02 May
Kek-U
1 : 3
Trepca Mitrovice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vushtrria 34 22 9 3 62:26 75
2 Feronikeli 34 22 8 4 59:22 74
3 Liria 34 21 8 5 60:29 71
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 34 22 5 7 61:39 71
5 Trepca 89 34 20 10 4 72:33 70
6 Vellaznimi 34 21 7 6 58:32 70
7 Ramiz Sadiku 34 14 8 12 39:29 50
8 Suhareka 34 13 5 16 60:61 44
9 Tefik Canga 34 12 4 18 48:54 40
10 2 Korriku 34 11 6 17 52:64 39
11 Besa Peja 33 9 8 16 39:52 35
12 Vjosa 34 9 8 17 39:61 35
13 Trepca Mitrovice 34 9 7 18 49:62 34
14 Kika 34 9 6 19 25:43 33
15 Istogu 34 7 11 16 47:60 32
16 Rilindja 34 8 8 18 34:61 32
17 Kek-U 33 4 9 20 25:63 21
18 Prizreni 34 3 11 20 28:66 20
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