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Sukhothai vs Ayutthaya United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai host Ayutthaya United in the Thai League 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ayutthaya United have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Sukhothai have conceded 1.68 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Sukhothai have won 2 to Ayutthaya United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Ayutthaya United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sukhothai
15%
Draws
46%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayutthaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sukhothai haven't matched Ayutthaya United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sukhothai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 18%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ayutthaya United
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Sukhothai
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Sukhothai
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Thai League 2
Sukhothai vs Ayutthaya United
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 36 / 100
Ayutthaya United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayutthaya United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sukhothai found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Sukhothai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Ayutthaya United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
20 Oct
Romklao United
1 : 0
Sukhothai
17 Oct
Sukhothai
5 : 1
Rasisalai United
09 Oct
Ratchaburi
6 : 0
Sukhothai
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 7

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
16 Oct
Ayutthaya United
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)