Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Mateusinho
27'
Negueba
38' Event
Mateusinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ratchaburi in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ratchaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sukhothai
6%
Draws
90%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ratchaburi lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • Win probability leans Ratchaburi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 13%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai
2:2
Mar 30, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakotoharimalala N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 10 / 100
Ratchaburi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sukhothai scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Sukhothai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Ratchaburi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Ratchaburi

(Away)
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
18 Apr
Bangkok Utd
1 : 4
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)