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Sul America vs Fast Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sul America play Fast Clube in the Campeonato Amazonense 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sul America averaged 2.45 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. Fast Clube averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Sul America won 2, Fast Clube won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Sul America and 2.56 for Fast Clube. This points to a Fast Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sul America
15%
Draws
51%
Fast Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fast Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Sul America picked up more points recently compared to Fast Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Sul America Clean Sheet 10%
Fast Clube Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America Fast Clube
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 2.45 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Amazonense 2
Fast Clube vs Sul America
0:0
Aug 19, 2024 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Fast Clube
1:5
Mar 23, 2019 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Sul America
0:1
Feb 21, 2019 Amazonense
Sul America vs Fast Clube
2:1
Feb 1, 2014 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Sul America
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 33 / 100
Fast Clube 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America Fast Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fast Clube or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sul America attacking → ← attacking Fast Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Fast Clube let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sul America went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fast Clube lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 38
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Penarol852112:417
2Sao Raimundo AM84319:515
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)842213:714
4Fast Clube842212:914
5Operario Esporte Clube832314:1411
6Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)831410:1310
7America AM813411:166
8Sul America813411:186
9Princesa do Solimoes812510:165