Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sul America vs Operario Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sul America play Operario Esporte Clube in the Amazonense 2 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sul America averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Operario Esporte Clube averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Sul America won 0, Operario Esporte Clube won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for Sul America and 1.44 for Operario Esporte Clube. This points to a Operario Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sul America
19%
Draws
45%
Operario Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sul America picked up more points recently compared to Operario Esporte Clube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Sul America Clean Sheet 16%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America Operario Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Amazonense 2
Operario Esporte Clube vs Sul America
3:2
Oct 2, 2021 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Operario Esporte Clube
1:2
May 8, 2011 Amazonense
Sul America vs Operario Esporte Clube
4:4
Feb 12, 2011 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Sul America
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 36 / 100
Operario Esporte Clube 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America Operario Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Operario Esporte Clube or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sul America attacking → ← attacking Operario Esporte Clube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Operario Esporte Clube let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Sul America went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Operario Esporte Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 39
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manauara642014:214
2Operario Esporte Clube642013:214
3Atletico Amazonense623110:99
4Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)622213:98
5Taruma622213:118
6Sul America611421:154
7Manicore60060:360