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Sul America vs RB do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sul America play RB do Norte in the Amazonense 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sul America averaged 2.45 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. RB do Norte averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. In past meetings, Sul America won 0, RB do Norte won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Sul America and 1.56 for RB do Norte. This points to a RB do Norte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sul America
15%
Draws
47%
RB do Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Sul America picked up more points recently compared to RB do Norte.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Sul America Clean Sheet 15%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America RB do Norte
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 2.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs RB do Norte
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 37 / 100
RB do Norte 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America RB do Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RB do Norte or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sul America attacking → ← attacking RB do Norte

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

RB do Norte let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sul America went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

RB do Norte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 21
3.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274