Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2012 game between Sumare and Fernandopolis finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Fernandopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sumare are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sumare Clean Sheet 20%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumare | Fernandopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Fernandopolis
2:2
Aug 15, 2012 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Sumare
1:3
Aug 1, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Fernandopolis
2:3
Jul 18, 2012 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Sumare
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumare 42 / 100
Fernandopolis 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumare Fernandopolis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fernandopolis has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Fernandopolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Sumare found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Fernandopolis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumare
(Home) 21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0 Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5 Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1 Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1 Sumare
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5 Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1 Manthiqueira
31 Aug
Sumare
0 : 1 Primavera EC
15 Aug
Sumare
2 : 0 Diadema
10 Aug
Sumare
0 : 0 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 3
Fernandopolis
(Away) 22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4 Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0 Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4 Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1 Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 6
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0 Fernandopolis
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1 Fernandopolis
19 May
Olimpia FC
2 : 1 Fernandopolis
04 May
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1 Fernandopolis
27 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 0 Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Barueri | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 2 | Votuporanguense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Nacional SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Fernandopolis | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 3 | Mauaense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sumare | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Americo EC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Guaruja | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Vicente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Tupa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Olimpia FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jaboticabal Atletico | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)
