Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Sumare

0 - 0

Guaruja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Sumare and Guaruja finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Sumare

15%

Draws

Guaruja

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sumare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sumare come out ahead of Guaruja on wins alone.
Model gives Sumare a 85% chance of winning this.
Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Sumare Clean Sheet 16%

Guaruja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sumare	Guaruja
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	19	21
Goals Scored	0.97	0.8
Goals Conceded	2.07	2.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.52	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Sumare

4:3

Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4

Sumare vs Guaruja

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumare 84 / 100

Guaruja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sumare Guaruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumare Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guaruja conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Guaruja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sumare scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumare VS Guaruja

0.67 Goals Scored 0.38

2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38

83% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 75%

33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumare

(Home)

21 Sept

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Sumare

17 Sept

Sumare

1 : 5

Lemense

14 Sept

Sumare

1 : 1

Manthiqueira

07 Sept

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Sumare

03 Sept

Lemense

3 : 1

Sumare

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Guaruja

(Away)

08 Jul

Elosport

3 : 0

Guaruja

30 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

AA Itarare

23 Jun

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Guaruja

16 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

Jabaquara

10 Jun

Maua FC

3 : 0

Guaruja

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