Sport Picks
SumQayit FK vs Araz PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit 
AI Match Summary
SumQayit FK host Araz PFK in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. SumQayit FK have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Araz PFK's 1.03 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor SumQayit FK slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Araz PFK to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Araz PFK carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives SumQayit FK a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SumQayit FK | Araz PFK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SumQayit FK scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Araz PFK has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Araz PFK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SumQayit FK
(Home)Araz PFK
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
