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SumQayit FK vs Safa Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SumQayit FK host Safa Baku in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: SumQayit FK at 1.07 goals for, 1.7 against; Safa Baku at 1.36 for, 1.07 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Safa Baku. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SumQayit FK
20%
Draws
30%
Safa Baku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SumQayit FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Safa Baku come out ahead of SumQayit FK on wins alone.
  • SumQayit FK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 20%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK Safa Baku
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 85 / 100
Safa Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK Safa Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SumQayit FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SumQayit FK scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SumQayit FK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Safa Baku registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Safa Baku has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK VS Safa Baku
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK

(Home)
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 6

Safa Baku

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)