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Sumsel United vs Bekasi City

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
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Match Events

1'
Dimas R.
15' Event
Amiruddin S.
27'
Kapisa O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sumsel United
20%
Draws
51%
Bekasi City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bekasi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sumsel United at 1.45 per game, Bekasi City at 1.43.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 13%
Bekasi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United Bekasi City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City
1:1
Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Bekasi City vs Sumsel United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sumsel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Afrizal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bekasi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Amiruddin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 31 / 100
Bekasi City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United Bekasi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumsel United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bekasi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sumsel United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS Bekasi City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumsel United

(Home)
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2
PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0
Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

Bekasi City

(Away)
18 Sept
Bekasi City
1 : 2
Persikad Depok
12 Sept
Persiku Kudus
1 : 1
Bekasi City
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
25 Apr
Persikad Depok
3 : 2
Bekasi City
18 Apr
Bekasi City
3 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)