Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sumsel United vs Bekasi City

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Dimas R.
15' Event
Amiruddin S.
27'
Kapisa O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sumsel United
30%
Draws
34%
Bekasi City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bekasi City lately — more wins on the board than Sumsel United.
  • Model gives Sumsel United a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 20%
Bekasi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United Bekasi City
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City
1:1
Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Bekasi City vs Sumsel United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sumsel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Afrizal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bekasi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Amiruddin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 36 / 100
Bekasi City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United Bekasi City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumsel United's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Bekasi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sumsel United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS Bekasi City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907