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Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ngwoke K.
15' Event
Subhi A.
Assist: Pangestu T.
36'
Poru W.

AI Match Summary

Sumsel United in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sumsel United
20%
Draws
33%
Persikad Depok
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persikad Depok have won more games recently than Sumsel United.
  • Win probability leans Sumsel United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sumsel United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 16%
Persikad Depok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United Persikad Depok
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Persikad Depok vs Sumsel United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sumsel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Subhi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darmawan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Persikad Depok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 66 / 100
Persikad Depok 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United Persikad Depok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumsel United found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Persikad Depok let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sumsel United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS Persikad Depok
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumsel United

(Home)
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0
Sumsel United
24 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
Sumsel United
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1
Persikad Depok
10 Oct
Sumsel United
5 : 1
Persiku Kudus
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

Persikad Depok

(Away)
04 Nov
Persikad Depok
6 : 2
Persiku Kudus
01 Nov
PSIS Semarang
0 : 0
Persikad Depok
24 Oct
Persikad Depok
2 : 3
PSPS Riau
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1
Persikad Depok
11 Oct
Persikad Depok
2 : 1
Semen Padang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)