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Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sumsel United host PSIS Semarang in the Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sumsel United have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against PSIS Semarang's 1.03 scored and 1.47 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.63 - 1.31) back Sumsel United to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sumsel United
30%
Draws
23%
PSIS Semarang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sumsel United come out ahead of PSIS Semarang on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sumsel United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 18%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United PSIS Semarang
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 85 / 100
PSIS Semarang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United PSIS Semarang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumsel United found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

PSIS Semarang has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Sumsel United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: PSIS Semarang registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS PSIS Semarang
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumsel United

(Home)
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0
Sumsel United
24 Oct
Bekasi City
1 : 1
Sumsel United
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1
Persikad Depok
10 Oct
Sumsel United
5 : 1
Persiku Kudus
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

PSIS Semarang

(Away)
01 Nov
PSIS Semarang
0 : 0
Persikad Depok
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1
PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 0
PSIS Semarang
09 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 3
Persiraja Aceh
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Bekasi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)