Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
8'
8'
Trenady P.
9'
9'
Subhi A.
45'
45'
Tuasalamony A.
AI Match Summary
PSPS Riau in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSPS Riau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSPS Riau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to PSPS Riau lately — more wins on the board than Sumsel United.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSPS Riau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Subhi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
PSPS Riau Compare
Top Goalscorer Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Siringo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 30 / 100
PSPS Riau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United PSPS Riau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sumsel United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
PSPS Riau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: PSPS Riau registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS PSPS Riau
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
Page 1 of 4
PSPS Riau
(Away) 26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad Depok | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 | PSPS Riau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Bekasi City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 8 | Sumsel United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 8 |
| 3 | Persis Solo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | PS Barito Putera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 6 | RANS Nusantara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Dejan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Persipura Jayapura | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:18 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
