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Sundby vs ASA Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Sundby Logo

Sundby

1 - 0
FT
ASA Aarhus Logo

ASA Aarhus

Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Trkulja K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sundby in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sundby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sundby
20%
Draws
10%
ASA Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sundby have won more games recently than ASA Aarhus.
  • Win probability leans Sundby's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sundby Clean Sheet 16%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby ASA Aarhus
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 3rd Division
ASA Aarhus vs Sundby
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs ASA Aarhus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Trkulja K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

ASA Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 57 / 100
ASA Aarhus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby ASA Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sundby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ASA Aarhus let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sundby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS ASA Aarhus
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
06 Nov
Sundby
1 : 1
Helsingor
31 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 2
Sundby
23 Oct
Sundby
3 : 1
Bronshoj
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
09 Oct
Sundby
2 : 3
Ishoj IF
Page 1 of 6

ASA Aarhus

(Away)
31 Oct
ASA Aarhus
2 : 2
BK Frem
24 Oct
Vanlose
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
10 Oct
Helsingor
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bronshoj 15 9 4 2 31:18 31
2 Holbaek 15 9 2 4 33:22 29
3 Vanlose 14 7 6 1 20:11 27
4 Helsingor 15 7 4 4 23:18 25
5 Horsholm-Usserod 14 6 4 4 32:24 22
6 Naesby 14 5 3 6 24:22 18
7 Ishoj IF 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
8 Sundby 15 5 2 8 24:25 17
9 ASA Aarhus 14 5 2 7 18:21 17
10 BK Frem 14 3 6 5 23:23 15
11 Holstebro 14 4 1 9 18:37 13
12 Ringsted 14 1 3 10 17:37 6
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)