Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sundby vs ASA Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Trkulja K.

AI Match Summary

Sundby in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sundby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sundby
15%
Draws
42%
ASA Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sundby have won more games recently than ASA Aarhus.
  • Win probability leans Sundby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby ASA Aarhus
Matches Played 33 18
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs ASA Aarhus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Trkulja K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

ASA Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 38 / 100
ASA Aarhus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby ASA Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sundby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

ASA Aarhus let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Difficult form: ASA Aarhus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS ASA Aarhus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
29 Aug
Ringsted
2 : 0
Sundby
Page 1 of 7

ASA Aarhus

(Away)
19 Sept
Bronshoj
5 : 1
ASA Aarhus
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
22 Aug
BK Frem
3 : 1
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 8 6 1 1 23:12 19
2 Bronshoj 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
3 Vanlose 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 Helsingor 8 4 2 2 12:10 14
5 Holstebro 8 4 1 3 15:15 13
6 ASA Aarhus 8 4 1 3 11:11 13
7 Naesby 8 3 2 3 14:13 11
8 Horsholm-Usserod 8 2 3 3 16:16 9
9 BK Frem 8 2 2 4 16:15 8
10 Sundby 8 2 1 5 11:15 7
11 Ishoj IF 8 1 1 6 4:16 4
12 Ringsted 8 1 1 6 10:23 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)