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Sundby vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
El Haddouchi K.
55' Event
Grunwaldt F.
67' Event
Tumturk H.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Sundby and Holbaek finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sundby
15%
Draws
53%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Sundby on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby Holbaek
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.69 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:1
Jun 4, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holbaek
1:5
May 2, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Sundby
2:2
Aug 22, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holbaek
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Namli I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer El Haddouchi K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grunwaldt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 30 / 100
Holbaek 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Holbaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Sundby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS Holbaek
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Bronshoj
3 : 1
Sundby
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Sundby
2 : 1
Ringsted
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Holbaek

(Away)
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
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