Sport Picks

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Sundby vs Holstebro

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Becker J.
81' Event
Jacobsen N.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Sundby and Holstebro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sundby
15%
Draws
42%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sundby have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Holstebro are scoring more at 1.9.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby Holstebro
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.85 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
2:0
May 24, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jacobsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Holstebro Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 30 / 100
Holstebro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Holstebro let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Holstebro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS Holstebro
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
29 Aug
Ringsted
2 : 0
Sundby
Page 1 of 7

Holstebro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Holstebro
3 : 2
BK Frem
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
22 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 1
Helsingor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 8 6 1 1 23:12 19
2 Bronshoj 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
3 Vanlose 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 Helsingor 8 4 2 2 12:10 14
5 Holstebro 8 4 1 3 15:15 13
6 ASA Aarhus 8 4 1 3 11:11 13
7 Naesby 8 3 2 3 14:13 11
8 Horsholm-Usserod 8 2 3 3 16:16 9
9 BK Frem 8 2 2 4 16:15 8
10 Sundby 8 2 1 5 11:15 7
11 Ishoj IF 8 1 1 6 4:16 4
12 Ringsted 8 1 1 6 10:23 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)