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Sundby vs Holstebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Becker J.
81' Event
Jacobsen N.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division game between Sundby and Holstebro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sundby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sundby
15%
Draws
0%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sundby come out ahead of Holstebro on wins alone.
  • Sundby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sundby Clean Sheet 17%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundby Holstebro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
2:0
May 24, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Holstebro
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Sundby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jacobsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Holstebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby 84 / 100
Holstebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundby Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sundby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Holstebro let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Holstebro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundby VS Holstebro
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundby

(Home)
31 Oct
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 2
Sundby
23 Oct
Sundby
3 : 1
Bronshoj
17 Oct
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Sundby
09 Oct
Sundby
2 : 3
Ishoj IF
03 Oct
Sundby
0 : 1
Vanlose
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Holstebro

(Away)
31 Oct
Ishoj IF
3 : 0
Holstebro
24 Oct
Holstebro
0 : 4
Horsholm-Usserod
17 Oct
Holbaek
4 : 0
Holstebro
10 Oct
Holstebro
2 : 4
Bronshoj
03 Oct
Naesby
4 : 0
Holstebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bronshoj 15 9 4 2 31:18 31
2 Holbaek 15 9 2 4 33:22 29
3 Vanlose 14 7 6 1 20:11 27
4 Helsingor 15 7 4 4 23:18 25
5 Horsholm-Usserod 14 6 4 4 32:24 22
6 Naesby 14 5 3 6 24:22 18
7 Ishoj IF 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
8 Sundby 15 5 2 8 24:25 17
9 ASA Aarhus 14 5 2 7 18:21 17
10 BK Frem 14 3 6 5 23:23 15
11 Holstebro 14 4 1 9 18:37 13
12 Ringsted 14 1 3 10 17:37 6
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)