Sport Picks

Denmark

Elitedivisionen Women 2022/2023

Naestved HG W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sundby W play Naestved HG W in the Elitedivisionen Women 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sundby W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Naestved HG W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Sundby W won 2, Naestved HG W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Sundby W and 1.25 for Naestved HG W. This points to a Naestved HG W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Sundby W

15%

Draws

45%

Naestved HG W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sundby W picked up more points recently compared to Naestved HG W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Sundby W Clean Sheet 19%

Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sundby W	Naestved HG W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	13
Draws	2	3
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.47	1.67
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 B-Liga Women

Naestved HG W vs Sundby W

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:4

Mar 14, 2026 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Naestved HG W

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Oct 14, 2023 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Naestved HG W

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Aug 19, 2023 B-Liga Women

Naestved HG W vs Sundby W

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

May 20, 2023 A-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Naestved HG W

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundby W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersen L.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby W 40 / 100

Naestved HG W 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sundby W Naestved HG W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naestved HG W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sundby W attacking → ← attacking Naestved HG W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Naestved HG W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sundby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naestved HG W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aarhus W	10	8	1	1	31:11	25
2	Aalborg W	10	6	2	2	28:12	20
3	B93 W	10	6	2	2	20:10	20
4	Naestved HG W	10	4	1	5	12:21	13
5	Odense W	10	2	2	6	17:19	8
6	Sundby W	10	0	0	10	1:36	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aarhus W	10	8	1	1	31:11	25
2	Aalborg W	10	6	2	2	28:12	20
3	B93 W	10	6	2	2	20:10	20
4	Naestved HG W	10	4	1	5	12:21	13
5	Odense W	10	2	2	6	17:19	8
6	Sundby W	10	0	0	10	1:36	0