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Sunderland U21 vs Lyon II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Assist: Kelly C.
85' Event
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Assist: Bennette J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Sunderland U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sunderland U21
15%
Draws
49%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunderland U21 come out ahead of Lyon II on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sunderland U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sunderland U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U21 Lyon II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.26 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Lyon II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Lyon II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U21 32 / 100
Lyon II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U21 Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland U21 scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Lyon II conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sunderland U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U21 VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 7

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valencia B 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Monaco II 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
4 Jong Ajax 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 1 1 2 7:10 4
6 Reading U21 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
7 Tottenham U21 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
8 Wolves U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon II 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
4 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
5 Benfica B 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Blackburn U21 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
7 B. Monchengladbach II 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
8 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nordsjaelland U21 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Fulham U21 4 2 2 0 13:9 8
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 12:11 7
4 Sparta Prague U21 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Jong PSV 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
7 Manchester United U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
8 Liverpool U21 4 0 0 4 7:15 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Sporting CP B 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Southampton U21 4 2 0 2 10:11 6
5 RB Leipzig II 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
6 Crystal Palace U21 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
7 Real Sociedad B 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
8 Anderlecht 2 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)