Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunderland U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kelly C.
48'
Rama R.
51' Event
Kelly C.
Assist: Spellman M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sunderland U23
20%
Draws
57%
Nottingham U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U23 lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland U23.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U23 Nottingham U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Sunderland U23
3:0
Jan 31, 2022 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Nottingham U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U23 10 / 100
Nottingham U23 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Nottingham U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sunderland U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U23 VS Nottingham U23
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U23

(Home)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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