Sport Picks
Sunderland vs Chelsea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Stadium of Light, Sunderland 
Match Events
4'
4'
Sub
Xhaka G. In: Ahoka J.
Out: Xhaka G.
21'
21'
Ahoka J.
35'
35'
Colwill L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sunderland and Chelsea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sunderland come out ahead of Chelsea on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chelsea's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunderland | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Chelsea
1:0
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Chelsea
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Sunderland
1:2
May 21, 2017 Premier League
Chelsea vs Sunderland
5:1
Dec 14, 2016 Premier League
Sunderland vs Chelsea
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunderland 22 / 100
Chelsea 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunderland Chelsea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Sunderland's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Sunderland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sunderland VS Chelsea
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunderland
(Home) 08 Nov
Sunderland
1 : 0 Chelsea
05 Nov
Sunderland
0 : 2 Din. Zagreb
31 Oct
Coventry
3 : 1 Sunderland
28 Oct
Sunderland
3 : 2 Brentford
25 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 0 Leeds
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Sunderland
1 : 0 Chelsea
05 Nov
Sunderland
0 : 2 Din. Zagreb
28 Oct
Sunderland
3 : 2 Brentford
25 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 0 Leeds
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2 Brighton
Page 1 of 3
Chelsea
(Away) 08 Nov
Sunderland
1 : 0 Chelsea
31 Oct
Chelsea
2 : 0 Manchester United
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1 Chelsea
24 Oct
Chelsea
0 : 2 Tottenham
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Sunderland
1 : 0 Chelsea
28 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 1 Chelsea
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
