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Stadium Background

Sunderland vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunderland host Jagiellonia in the Europa League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sunderland at 1.31 goals for, 1.59 against; Jagiellonia at 1.76 for, 1.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.88, favoring Jagiellonia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sunderland
20%
Draws
51%
Jagiellonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagiellonia have won more games recently than Sunderland.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jagiellonia taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Jagiellonia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 14 / 100
Jagiellonia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Jagiellonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Jagiellonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sunderland stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Jagiellonia's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Jagiellonia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
05 Nov
Sunderland
0 : 2
Din. Zagreb
31 Oct
Coventry
3 : 1
Sunderland
28 Oct
Sunderland
3 : 2
Brentford
25 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 0
Leeds
22 Oct
Lech Poznan
1 : 1
Sunderland
Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia

(Away)
05 Nov
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Jagiellonia
31 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 3
Jagiellonia
28 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 6
Jagiellonia
25 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Wisla Plock
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)