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Sunderland vs Leeds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunderland host Leeds in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Sunderland have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Leeds's 1.59 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Leeds slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.75) point toward Leeds. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sunderland
20%
Draws
36%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Sunderland's 1.28.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 12%
Leeds Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Leeds
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Premier League Summer Series
Sunderland vs Leeds
0:1
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Sunderland
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Sunderland vs Leeds
1:1
Feb 17, 2025 Championship
Leeds vs Sunderland
2:1
Oct 4, 2024 Championship
Sunderland vs Leeds
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 30 / 100
Leeds 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Leeds has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sunderland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Leeds
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
Page 1 of 6

Leeds

(Away)
10 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 1
Leeds
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 16:5 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
7 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Hull City 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
10 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
11 Newcastle Utd 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
14 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
15 Nottingham 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
18 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
19 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)