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Sunderland W vs Blackburn W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women's League Cup 2024/2025 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hack E.
Assist: Dahou J.
46'
Sub
West E. In: Goddard A.
Out: West E.
46'
Sub
Fenton N. In: Dear J.
Out: Fenton N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Blackburn W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sunderland W
20%
Draws
7%
Blackburn W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sunderland W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sunderland W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sunderland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Blackburn W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 20%
Blackburn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland W Blackburn W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Sunderland W
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Blackburn W
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Blackburn W
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Sunderland W
0:2
Dec 13, 2023 Women's League Cup
Blackburn W vs Sunderland W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitching K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Blackburn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hack E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland W 85 / 100
Blackburn W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland W Blackburn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland W scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Blackburn W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Sunderland W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland W VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland W

(Home)
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
06 Sept
Sunderland W
4 : 1
Bristol City W
Page 1 of 7

Blackburn W

(Away)
26 Oct
Burnley W
12 : 0
Blackburn W
04 May
Blackburn W
1 : 5
Newcastle Utd W
27 Apr
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Blackburn W
20 Apr
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 0
Blackburn W
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
6 : 0
Blackburn W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Liverpool W 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Everton W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:12 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durham W 3 3 0 0 5:3 8
2 Blackburn W 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Sheffield Utd W 3 0 0 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Southampton FC W 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Portsmouth W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton W 3 2 0 1 9:2 7
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Birmingham W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Bristol City W 3 1 0 2 4:10 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Aston Villa W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Crystal Palace W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Charlton W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)