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Sundsvall vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Granstrom G.
Assist: Sporrong A.
29'
Atlee A.
42'
Lundin A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sundsvall and Brage finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sundsvall
6%
Draws
90%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brage come out ahead of Sundsvall on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brage's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brage here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%
Brage Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Brage
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Brage
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Sundsvall vs Brage
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Sundsvall
0:1
May 22, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Brage
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Brage vs Sundsvall
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Granstrom G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horberg F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 10 / 100
Brage 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Brage lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Brage
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
01 Aug
Sandviken
5 : 0
Sundsvall
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

Brage

(Away)
01 Aug
Brage
2 : 1
Landskrona
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 17 11 2 4 29:10 35
2 Varberg 17 10 3 4 34:23 33
3 Falkenberg 17 9 4 4 33:26 31
4 Ostersund 17 8 5 4 27:21 29
5 Nordic United 17 7 6 4 28:25 27
6 Oster 17 8 2 7 27:26 26
7 Sandviken 17 7 4 6 32:23 25
8 Landskrona 17 7 4 6 23:19 25
9 Helsingborg 17 7 3 7 30:34 24
10 Oddevold 17 5 7 5 28:26 22
11 Brage 17 5 5 7 30:30 20
12 Ljungskile 17 5 5 7 23:25 20
13 Norrby 17 3 10 4 21:23 19
14 Orebro 17 3 6 8 14:25 15
15 Varnamo 17 4 2 11 20:35 14
16 Sundsvall 17 3 0 14 13:41 9
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)