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Sundsvall vs Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Aviander H.
55' Event
Edwards C.
59'
Azzi H.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sundsvall and Ostersund finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sundsvall
6%
Draws
90%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostersund come out ahead of Sundsvall on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ostersund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Ostersund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ostersund
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Sundsvall
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marklund S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 10 / 100
Ostersund 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ostersund conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ostersund lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Ostersund
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
15 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 4
Oster
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Ostersund

(Away)
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
14 Jun
Ljungskile
1 : 1
Ostersund
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)