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Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santafe Wanderers in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santafe Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sunflower State
6%
Draws
90%
Santafe Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santafe Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santafe Wanderers have won more games recently than Sunflower State.
  • Win probability leans Santafe Wanderers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santafe Wanderers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Sunflower State Clean Sheet 10%
Santafe Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunflower State Santafe Wanderers
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
3:2
Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
0:5
Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
5:2
Jul 10, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:2
Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunflower State 10 / 100
Santafe Wanderers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunflower State Santafe Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunflower State found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Santafe Wanderers conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sunflower State stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunflower State VS Santafe Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%