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Stadium Background

Sunkar vs Gefest Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunkar in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunkar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sunkar
15%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunkar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunkar lately — more wins on the board than Gefest Karagandy.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sunkar taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Sunkar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sunkar Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunkar Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.4 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2014 First League
Sunkar vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
May 25, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Sunkar
1:1
Aug 28, 2013 First League
Sunkar vs Gefest Karagandy
2:1
Jun 1, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Sunkar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunkar 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunkar Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunkar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gefest Karagandy conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Gefest Karagandy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sunkar scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sunkar VS Gefest Karagandy
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunkar

(Home)
08 Nov
Sunkar
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
02 Nov
CSKA Almaty
0 : 2
Sunkar
25 Oct
Sunkar
5 : 2
Kyzylzhar
11 Oct
Zhenis
2 : 1
Sunkar
04 Oct
Sunkar
2 : 2
Vostok Oskemen
Page 1 of 6

Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)