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Elitettan Women 2024 Electrolux Home Arena

Kalmar W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sunnana W play Kalmar W in the Elitettan Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sunnana W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Kalmar W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. In past meetings, Sunnana W won 1, Kalmar W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Sunnana W and 1.31 for Kalmar W. This points to a Kalmar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Sunnana W

15%

Draws

51%

Kalmar W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalmar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Sunnana W picked up more points recently compared to Kalmar W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Sunnana W Clean Sheet 18%

Kalmar W Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sunnana W	Kalmar W
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	5	6
Draws	5	4
Losses	22	19
Goals Scored	1	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Elitettan Women

Sunnana W vs Kalmar W

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Jul 7, 2024 Elitettan Women

Kalmar W vs Sunnana W

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Oct 3, 2020 Elitettan Women

Kalmar W vs Sunnana W

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Aug 1, 2020 Elitettan Women

Sunnana W vs Kalmar W

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:4

Oct 29, 2016 Elitettan Women

Kalmar W vs Sunnana W

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunnana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hetta K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Kalmar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorisson A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Treiberg E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunnana W 34 / 100

Kalmar W 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sunnana W Kalmar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kalmar W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sunnana W attacking → ← attacking Kalmar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunnana W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Kalmar W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sunnana W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kalmar W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 22

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malmo FF W	26	21	2	3	70:23	65
2	Alingsas W	26	18	6	2	67:21	60
3	Umea W	26	16	3	7	56:34	51
4	IK Uppsala Fotboll W	26	15	1	10	48:31	46
5	Bollstanas W	26	13	4	9	46:35	43
6	Sunnana W	26	11	3	12	33:36	36
7	Mallbacken W	26	9	6	11	34:35	33
8	Jitex W	26	9	5	12	48:54	32
9	Eskilstuna United W	26	9	4	13	37:42	31
10	Gamla Upsala W	26	9	3	14	41:48	30
11	Orebro SK W	26	7	5	14	31:47	26
12	Lidkoping W	26	7	4	15	33:68	25
13	Sundsvall W	26	4	8	14	20:51	20
14	Kalmar W	26	5	4	17	25:64	19