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Sunray Cave vs Kitchee

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2004/2005
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2004/2005 game between Sunray Cave and Kitchee finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitchee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sunray Cave
30%
Draws
51%
Kitchee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kitchee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kitchee's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kitchee have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sunray Cave Clean Sheet 13%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunray Cave Kitchee
Matches Played 35 51
Wins 12 35
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.66 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2014 Premier League
Sunray Cave vs Kitchee
0:2
Sep 3, 2013 Premier League
Kitchee vs Sunray Cave
6:2
Mar 29, 2013 Premier League
Kitchee vs Sunray Cave
1:1
Sep 2, 2012 Premier League
Sunray Cave vs Kitchee
0:3
Apr 6, 2005 Premier League
Sunray Cave vs Kitchee
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunray Cave 14 / 100
Kitchee 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunray Cave Kitchee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sunray Cave scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Kitchee let in goals in 63% of their last 51 matches.

Solid form: Sunray Cave remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kitchee
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunray Cave

(Home)
11 May
Sunray Cave
2 : 3
Southern District
06 May
Sunray Cave
0 : 0
South China
20 Apr
Sunray Cave
1 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
05 Apr
Sunray Cave
0 : 2
Kitchee
30 Mar
Dreams Metro Gallery
1 : 3
Sunray Cave
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Kitchee

(Away)
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
22 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 3
Kitchee
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