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Sunrise vs Etoile de L'Est - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunrise host Etoile de L'Est in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sunrise have averaged 0.85 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Etoile de L'Est's 0.57 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Sunrise have won 1 to Etoile de L'Est's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2024, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.00) back Sunrise to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sunrise
30%
Draws
23%
Etoile de L'Est
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunrise's 0.85 goals per match outpaces what Etoile de L'Est have produced (0.57).
  • Model gives Sunrise a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Etoile de L'Est
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.85 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Sunrise
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 85 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Etoile de L'Est

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de L'Est has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sunrise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Etoile de L'Est lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Etoile de L'Est
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
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Etoile de L'Est

(Away)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)