Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunrise vs Gasogi United

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Nyagatare Stadium, Nyagatare
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunrise host Gasogi United in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Gasogi United have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Sunrise have conceded 1.28 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Gasogi United slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 0.42, favoring Gasogi United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Sunrise
30%
Draws
8%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunrise lately — more wins on the board than Gasogi United.
  • Win probability leans Sunrise's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 20%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Gasogi United
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Sunrise vs Gasogi United
0:0
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Sunrise
3:0
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Gasogi United
0:1
Jan 28, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Gasogi United
0:3
Nov 22, 2022 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Sunrise
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 85 / 100
Gasogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Gasogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gasogi United let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sunrise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gasogi United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Gasogi United
0.33 Goals Scored 0.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

Gasogi United

(Away)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al-Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al-Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)