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Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Ballinger Park
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Match Events

58' Event
Robinson L.
75' Event
Sutherland H.
90' Event
Docherty E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Sunshine Coast Wanderers and Caboolture finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caboolture.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
6%
Draws
4%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caboolture carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sunshine Coast Wanderers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunshine Coast Wanderers Caboolture
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Mar 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Caboolture
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutherland H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 83 / 100
Caboolture 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caboolture conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Sunshine Coast Wanderers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunshine Coast Wanderers VS Caboolture
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518