Sport Picks

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Super Nova 2 vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Sporta centrs Krasts, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Oliynyk M.
Assist: Korsaks K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Super Nova 2 and Marupe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Super Nova 2
15%
Draws
36%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Super Nova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Super Nova 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 Marupe
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Super Nova 2
2:1
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Marupe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliynyk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 48 / 100
Marupe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Marupe has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Marupe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS Marupe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova 2

(Home)
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 4

Marupe

(Away)
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 18 15 2 1 54:16 47
2 FK Metta 18 15 2 1 77:14 47
3 Leevon PPK 18 13 3 2 33:21 42
4 Riga Mariners 18 12 5 1 40:17 41
5 Alberts JDFS 18 10 4 4 37:24 34
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Super Nova 2 19 6 6 7 26:28 24
8 Skanste 18 7 2 9 37:35 23
9 Riga FC 2 18 6 3 9 25:34 21
10 Tukums 2000 2 17 3 3 11 23:51 12
11 JFK Ventspils 17 2 6 9 19:29 12
12 RFS 2 18 3 3 12 24:51 12
13 FK Smiltene 18 2 4 12 21:53 10
14 Rezekne 18 1 2 15 14:54 5
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