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Super Nova 2 vs Riga FC 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Sporta centrs Krasts, Riga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Super Nova 2 host Riga FC 2 in the 1. Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Super Nova 2 have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Riga FC 2's 1.9 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Super Nova 2 have won 0 to Riga FC 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring Riga FC 2. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Super Nova 2
35%
Draws
53%
Riga FC 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga FC 2 lately — more wins on the board than Super Nova 2.
  • Model gives Riga FC 2 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 Riga FC 2
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Super Nova 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 10 / 100
Riga FC 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 Riga FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

Defensive concern: Riga FC 2 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Super Nova 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS Riga FC 2
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova 2

(Home)
17 Oct
Super Nova 2
1 : 3
FK Metta
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 5

Riga FC 2

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Smiltene
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
11 Oct
Riga FC 2
5 : 0
Rezekne
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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