Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova vs Balvu SC

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2019
Super Nova Logo

Super Nova

5 - 1
FT
Balvu SC Logo

Balvu SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Super Nova in this 1. Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Super Nova
20%
Draws
0%
Balvu SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Super Nova have won more games recently than Balvu SC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Super Nova here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova Balvu SC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.42 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.18 5.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Super Nova
0:2
Sep 7, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs Balvu SC
5:1
Jun 1, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Super Nova
0:10
Sep 22, 2018 1. Liga
Super Nova vs Balvu SC
7:1
Jun 2, 2018 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Super Nova
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 84 / 100
Balvu SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova Balvu SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balvu SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Balvu SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Super Nova scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7

Balvu SC

(Away)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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