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Super Nova vs New Project Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between Super Nova and New Project finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Super Nova
15%
Draws
26%
New Project
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Super Nova come out ahead of New Project on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Super Nova have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
New Project Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova New Project
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.12 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
7:0
Jun 30, 2019 Latvian Cup
New Project vs Super Nova
1:2
Jun 8, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Super Nova
0:0
Apr 6, 2019 1. Liga
Super Nova vs New Project
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 41 / 100
New Project 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova New Project

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Project has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Super Nova found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Super Nova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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New Project

(Away)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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